Table of Contents

Episode 114

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Updated by Matt Scalena PREC March 22, 2024

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As we step into the fall, anticipation builds for the unveiling of the Western Investor’s best cities to invest in real estate in Canada for 2024. We’re excited to welcome back Frank O’Brien from the BIV Media Group, the editor behind the insightful Western Investor reports to discuss Frank’s best places to invest in Canada.

Cory and Melissa tap into Frank’s wealth of expertise to present the prime cities for real estate in 2024. This year’s list brings some intriguing newcomers, offering a diverse range of opportunities.

Listen in for an engaging discussion on the best cities to invest in real estate in Canada 2024, guided by one of the industry’s most trusted voices. Lets go!

Guest Information

Frank O’Brien

Frank is a professional editor and writer who specializes in real estate, construction, and business journalism. For the past 21 years he has been a Senior Writer for Business in Vancouver, Glacier Media, and an Editor at Western Investor. With over 40 years of writing experience he’s a three-time winner for industry association marketing awards, and in 2005 received the Jack Webster Award for Excellence in Journalism.

Episode Summary

The Vancouver Real Estate Podcast was lucky enough to have Frank O’Brien as a guest multiple times prior to him passing away on December 1, 2023. His obituary can be read here.

 

Frank O’Brien from Western Investor is back again to share the best places to invest in Canada. How do the picks for 2024 stack up against last year’s picks? Are there any surprises on the list? And where’s the best place to put your money in the new year?

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In the last couple of years, especially during Covid, there was so much going on and so many hot, unique markets. It was fun to choose a top Canadian city to invest because it was such an exciting time. That’s why places like Penticton and Calgary made the list because there was a lot of speculation around levels of demand & price appreciation.

This year, it’s a completely different scene, especially in BC. The province is predicting a 0.08% GDP growth, which is virtually non-existent. We’ve had forest fires, port strikes and we are definitely not as optimistic for 2024.

So for this year’s list, we’re looking at pragmatic markets. They’re not flashy; they’re steady and we think they’ll do exceptionally well in 2024 because of their foundational strength.

The Best Cities to Invest In Real Estate in Canada 2024

#5: Lethbridge, Alberta

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Lethbridge doesn’t have the deep oil and gas industry that other places in Alberta do, which has proven to be a strength.

Mega agricultural players, like Cavendish Farms, are building multi-billion dollar processing plants in Lethbridge because they have the land. There’s over 3000 acres of industrial land ready to rock.

And these big companies are creating lots of high paying jobs; the average income in Lethbridge is $111,000 per year. But you can buy a house for just $340,000 or rent a one bedroom apartment for $1200/month.

Lethbridge is on the list because of high job growth, low housing costs and projected rapid population growth.

Lethbridge also has a strong retail sector. They’ve broken records and there’s no sign of slowing down. Lethbridge has been solid for years and is set to become a major food producer in 2024.

#4: Saskatoon, Saskatchewan

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Saskatoon is one of the best cities to invest in real estate in Canada because it has steady demand, affordable prices and projected returns in commercial real estate.

Saskatoon is predicting the highest provincial GDP growth in 2024 and has foundational strength in agriculture and mining. The biggest potash mine on the planet, creating 2,500 jobs, just started north of Saskatoon.

The industrial sector in Saskatoon has the third lowest vacancy rate in Canada at 1.6% with rising demand. We expect industrial real estate to hit an all time high of $15/square foot in 2024, compared to $9/square foot just two years ago.

Household income is high in Saskatoon and the average home price is $378,000, while a one bedroom rents for $1075 per month. There’s an active cultural scene, a university and a beautiful river flowing through the city. It’s a sophisticated and attractive city that people overlook.

You can buy a nice house for $400,000 and get a high-paying job. So if you can survive the winters, Saskatoon is a great place to raise a family.

#3: South Delta, BC

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I know South Delta isn’t a city but rather includes the cities of Ladner and Tsawwassen. It’s going to be transformed in the next few years so 2024 is the time to get in. A huge expansion is coming to the Delta port terminal, as well as an eight-lane road with the new Massey Tunnel.

Prices are fairly high right now but not compared to what they’ll be once the tunnel gets rocking. The Southlands project in Tsawwassen is an amazing project with hundreds of homes and nearby retail opportunities. There are great schools and great public safety.

South Delta has great schools, great job prospects and great transit links with the incoming tunnel. It’s going to be a major growth market and it all starts in 2024.

The tunnel doesn’t come in until 2030 but if you wait until then, it’s going to be too late. Especially as a developer, you want to get in now. A lot of transformation is happening in Ladner and in the South Delta region.

Delta has all the land and infrastructure it needs to become an urban centre in the Lower Mainland.

#2: Terrace, BC

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Terrace is 30 minutes from Kitimat, which is the only livable community in Northwest BC. They’ve been putting the final touches on a natural gas project in Kitimat but Kitimat isn’t really a place you want to live. Terrace is different.

There’s not a great infrastructure in Terrace yet, but that’s where developers come in. The population is expected to double in the next five years and billions of dollars of development are coming in.

Natural gas is going to be a huge national play in 2024 with the war in Ukraine and issues in the Middle East. The world is looking for natural gas and they’re going to be looking at BC.

Terrace is where all of the natural gas money that’s coming in will be spent because it’s the only liveable community within a short distance of Kitimat.

For example, Swiss Real is building a 21 unit detached house project in Terrace, aimed at investors. They’ll sell you a brand new four bedroom house for $670,000 and guarantee a corporate rent of $6000/month for two years.

House prices went down all across the north last year, except in Terrace. The average house price in Terrace is just over $500,000. Terrace has the land and great new housing projects coming in. It would be a really solid investment play for 2024.

#1: Edmonton, Alberta

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Last year we chose Calgary as our top city and it went berserk in 2023. Now it’s starting to get overpriced. So this year, the switch is on to Edmonton. Edmonton is a pivot for the oil and gas industry. Multi-billion dollar deals are happening in Edmonton.

It’s the most affordable city in the country because of the high incomes and low house prices. The average home in Edmonton costs $374,000, which is 57% below the national average. There are great opportunities in residential real estate for cash flow real estate.

There’s great employment in Edmonton and lots of opportunities for multi-family investors. The vacancy rate is 5%, which is very healthy. It is seeing record levels of immigration, both internationally and across Canada.

The boom is back in Alberta and Edmonton is where you’ll see the big growth in jobs and real estate in 2024. I think it will outperform Calgary.

The weather isn’t as good as in Vancouver but it’s a young, vibrant city with a great sports centre and library system. Investors are heading to Edmonton and I think homeowners will follow.

In the Edmonton industrial market, they’ve seen positive absorption for 12 straight quarters with no sign of a slow down. There’s 2 million square feet of industrial under construction with a vacancy rate of 4.3%. Lease rates are $10.57/square foot, which is the second lowest in Canada.

Recap: The top 5 investment cities in Western Canada in 2024

  1. Edmonton, AB
  2. Terrace, BC
  3. South Delta, BC
  4. Saskatoon, SK
  5. Lethbridge, AB

What is the top Canadian City to Invest 2024 for Frank O’Brien?

I’d pick Terrace, BC. You have to find a good property manager. But it’s inexpensive to get into and the guaranteed corporate rents are great.

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Episode Host

Cory Wright

cory@williamwright.ca

Cory is the founder and Managing Broker of William Wright Commercial. Since its inception in 2013, he has successfully closed over $500,000,000 in commercial investment properties ranging from large-scale open-air shopping centers to highly desirable Vancouver development sites and everything in between.

Melisa Moretti

Vancouver REALTOR® at Oakwyn Downtown Realty. Licensed REALTOR® with Scalena Real Estate Group and Vancouver Real Estate Podcast.

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